Shanghai Daoqin Plastics Co., Ltd.

         macro analysis methods is large product price analysis methods 之一. due to macro is micro combined, macro indicators in 譬如GDP and other tool has rear property, non and property features, therefore GDP can is as is long 期参考. macro analysis more more from macro cycle certain product price 走势, mono 判断出底部 or 者顶部, in long inner difficult more 改, tool has 鲜明 指导 property, PMI and other separation indicators tool has property. summary and analysis type macro indicators, indicators rear inner 涵, tool has large 参考意义. below/following for PE product from several macro indicators analysis.

        2019 year month price data 显示, PE futures and in stock related degree high, 几乎同步涨跌, therefore below/following analysis, futures price 指数跟 macro indicators comparison.

        库存 cycle (detailed 请参看另一篇文章: 主动 库存尚未结束 PP何敢言底), 2018 year 10 month large product 进入主动 库存 stage/phase, performance is amount 价齐跌, currently has 见底信号, PE也不例 outer. lower will by 动 库 stage/phase, this stage/phase is can 掀起狂风暴雨 stage/phase, price in has anti 备情况 lower can can 就走起.

         from PE futures price 指数跟 industrial enterprise formed product 存货走势 upper 看, PE futures 指数2017 year 6 month formed high 点, 2018 year year inner high in 2018 year 7 month, PE price also is 领先库存, cycle is summary large product cycle, PE product in cycle in difficult 以独善 its 身, most is large product amount 价齐跌.

        PMI is 经济先行 indicators in non important indicators, tool has its high degree property. currently full already has 20 more 国家建立 PMI system, has machine already 开始建立 full 球指数 and 欧元区指数, PMI指数 and its report already formed is world 经济运行 active important evaluation indicators and world 经济变化 晴雨 table/sheet. therefore, 2019 year 3 month rise to 50 临界 value upper, for PE price in Q1 degree 震荡;3 month rear PMI一路 lower 行, PE price 几乎同步跟随.

        PPI industrial product price is amount industrial enterprise product price trend and 变动程 degree 指数, is certain 一时期 production field/area price 变动情况 important indicators, is made has 关经济 policy and 国民经济核算 important based on. therefore, PPI自4 month most high rear lower 行, for PE price lower 行, related property versus high tool has positive related property.

         above is simple analysis, analysis in can fine analysis project, for PPI separation and PMI separation 项进行 statistics analysis, PPI month-on-month and PMI购进 price can versus 互印证, export and PPI year-on-year increase speed versus 互印证, electrical amount, use electrical amount and industrial increase speed versus 互印证, PPI and PPIRM versus 互印证 and other 待. upper. 2019 year 做空PE is direction 主旋律, currently still 尚未见底,静待 for lower 一步公布 macro indicators analysis. macro analysis methods is more analysis methods 之一, different product has its supply and demand features and market structure, need combined specific product industry chain, industry supply and demand features analysis, is can provide analysis degree.