Shanghai Daoqin Plastics Co., Ltd.

春节 false 期临近, enterprise 面临节 front false, year 底业者资金回笼 obvious, in large Hengli 二期, 浙江石化 start production 试运行 effect/influence lower, market supply and demand landscape more add 凸显. large and production enterprise between competition pressure more add 凸显, how to for 2020 year future market ……  

一, pressure decrease  

两油库存 in 2019 year 10 month rear 一直处于震荡 lower slip trend, inner wire drawing price 也呈现震荡 lower slip trend. analysis its in causes, inner 经济形势受国际 large ring effect/influence soft, lower products enterprise, especially material processing enterprise mono versus for decrease/reduce, made raw materials demand degree. meanwhile inner new increase expand can 不断崛起, add market supply and demand 失衡局势, 令业者 for rear 市担忧情绪不断 upper rise.  

二, inner outer 盘价差 

12 month in lower outer price overall small 幅拉涨 trend, inner price demand low pressure, overall 呈现震荡 lower trend, 两者走势呈现反 toward development trend. analysis its in causes, 主因国际原油 high 位, 美金PP cost reinforcement. inner demand force new increase expand can 不断崛起, 两者走势呈现截然 different trend. from rear 期 看, 伴随国 inner expand can 不断激 increase, Imported PP will pressure add heavy, high price or has 进一步 lower slip 空间.  

三, in stock comparison  

近期期 in stock 价差呈现逐步收 narrow 走势, 05 combined 约依旧贴 water in stock. in stock market 受春节 false effect/influence, demand difficult 以支撑 market 报盘, supply new increase production capacity pressure pressure, market supply and demand di pressure, for futures effect/influence 逐步显现. currently futures analysis 发现, system 看, K线 upper 方考验7700整数关口 pressure. MACD/KDJ indicators more 纠结. 宝塔线, 波段之星均出现做 more 信号. 薛斯通道 看, upper 方关注7724附近 pressure. expected 波动区间 in 7500-7700. as upper more mono high 获利, bag is 安.  

四, rear 市展望 

近期 market overall 呈现偏 low 震荡局势, 因两油库存节 front consumption slow, add heavy for rear 市看空心态. meanwhile in futures low 开拖累 lower, impact market low 报心态. cost 面, propylene mono 体12 month 以 因 Imported increase more, meanwhile propylene most large lower polypropylene (PP) 终端接货乏 force, add propylene lower slip pressure, expected propylene low is 主. demand 面, full 球经济疲 soft, inner increase speed 放缓, large lower enterprise meanwhile 面临资金周转 difficult, mono decrease/reduce, cost high difficult, demand soft formed is made polypropylene (PP) market lower most large retardant force. in high product demand strong/high 劲, inner overall product still in low more, in high product supply and demand still relatively large, 故近期 Imported 资源偏 toward in high product is 主. 伴随国 inner various technology water 平 不断 improves, and inner large type polypropylene (PP) new production capacity 崛起, inner polypropylene (PP) product positive toward in high field/area 渡.  

in cost 面支撑 has 限, short demand difficult has made lower, inner polypropylene (PP) market pressure heavy heavy. production enterprise, 商家都面临转 type machine, market competition pressure again 次凸显. in inner large ring soft made lower, expected front market low is 主, rear market need consumption 库存, large Hengli, 浙江石化 and other low product impact market, expected rear general purpose wire drawing type market or will again innovation low, currently market wire drawing low 价徘徊 in 7300-7800元/吨, expected rear or will impact 7000元/吨关口 low 价货源.