Shanghai Daoqin Plastics Co., Ltd.

         from most 初煤企 “突围之路”, to stage/phase a large amount of start production is polyester industry understanding raw materials supply 紧张, again to can 预见 “红海 competition ”, made ethylene glycol industry development outlook/prospects is and machine 遇并存. made ethylene glycol industry development which machine 遇?存 in which issues? in day 烟台举行 2019 year full 国石油 and chemical industry industry 经济形势 analysis ethylene glycol separation forum upper, inner expert 展开 研讨.

         industry development 突飞猛进

         as is full most large textile production 基, polyester industry development speed, for ethylene glycol demand amount 也稳步 growth. 随 众 more 炼化一体化 and 现代煤 chemical industry project 兴建, ethylene glycol 曾经巨 large supply and demand positive by inner new increase production capacity 填补.

         China and chemical industrial combined 会副会 long toward rise introduction, 2018 year large type polyester year production capacity 5486 10,000 tons, for ethylene glycol year demand amount 达1546.3 10,000 tons, future also will 进一步 increase. in to 方面, 2018 year inner ethylene glycol production capacity maintain growth, to 1063.2 10,000 tons, full production capacity 33.5%, formed is its ethylene glycol production capacity large 国.

         in 石化经济 technology research 院杨亮 table/sheet 示, 随 国 inner new increase production capacity in start production, ethylene glycol market competition will add 剧. statistics, currently inner in and ethylene glycol project has 60 more, year production capacity 接近3000 10,000 tons, more plan in 2018～2025 year start production.

         especially is made ethylene glycol, catalytic agent lifespan and selection property improves plant/unit stability production, in high profit and large demand 缺口推动 lower, in recent years made ethylene glycol project 遍 开花, construction start negative has obvious improves. made ethylene glycol effect/influence positive in add large, competition force in improves.

        “ expected year 底, made ethylene glycol year production capacity will 达600 10,000 tons, inner ethylene glycol production capacity 48%. in cost 方面, although year fall, 石油路线 made ethylene glycol and made ethylene glycol cost has expand large, 但也仅 is 400元/吨 left right, made ethylene glycol enterprise still has product large let 出售 空间. ”赵亮 analysis 说.

        傅 toward rise strong/high 调, 随 我国 new type chemical industry technology 越 越 formed 熟, production plant/unit stability property improvement, made ethylene glycol quality to large improves, industry development 突飞猛进. 2018 year made ethylene glycol production capacity already ultra- 410 10,000 tons, to inner production capacity 40% left right, expected to 2020 year production capacity will ultra- 750 10,000 tons, ratio will improves 至45.6%.

         industry 面临三 large issues

        傅 toward rise 指出, ethylene glycol industry 取 瞩目 formed 绩, meanwhile need to industry issues.

        首先, production capacity issues 凸显. 随 数十 ethylene glycol project construction start construction and start production, to 2020 year inner production capacity will to 1662 10,000 tons, 2025 year production capacity will to 2200 10,000 tons, production capacity can 避免, industry can force will to obvious impact.

         its 次, product quality 尚待进一步 improves. especially is made ethylene glycol product certain indicators and 石油路线 product in 一 差异, can by lower high polyester industry use can.

        据杨亮 introduction, currently 我国煤 made ethylene glycol already formed in 科院福建 material 构 —丹华— Shanghai 金煤, UBE — high chemical —东华 engineering and other development large type technology. 经 不断 optimization adjustment, made ethylene glycol quality can to lower 游涤纶 long filament production enterprise standards, use ratio/proportion improve/increase, already from 20%～30% improve/increase to 30%～70%, currently made ethylene glycol 依然无 method full substitute/replace ethylene method ethylene glycol.

         most rear, industry competition force versus for 不足. from full scope/range 看, is in 东以油田伴生 gas in 乙烷, and separation 石脑油 is raw materials, also is USA 以天然 gas is raw materials, production ethylene glycol cost tool competition force, will for production enterprise belt/tape impact.

        杨亮认 is, currently newly built ethylene glycol plant/unit tool has 规模效益 strong/high, can consumption low, upstream and downstream 一体化, 接近消费 in 心区域 and other advantages, in future and separation Imported product competition in can 够占据 advantages. in ethylene glycol raw materials cost advantages relatively is obvious, competition force relatively strong/high. expected 2020 year inner in ethylene glycol Imported amount can can also increase.

         high quality development 寻出路

        傅 toward rise 指出, currently, external ring 境不确定 property increase large, inner demand soft, full ethylene glycol production capacity 面临 剩, this for ethylene glycol industry development 提出 挑战. therefore, industry more 应该坚定 high quality development 信念, add large technology R&D and product innovation, improves fine tube/pipe water 平, reduce can consumption and material consumption, improvement 经营效益. another, also need add fast industry melt combined, production enterprise utilizing good futures market, through sleeve/set value and other tube/pipe 控经营 in 风险.

         Shanghai 100 million 京实业 has company general manager 杨千里也认 is, 2019～2020 year ethylene glycol market price will low 位, made ethylene glycol production 状况取决于自身 cost tube/pipe and plant/unit stability 运行, enterprise need good day 子 打算.

         for ethylene glycol future development, need “ di stability ”, 即货源 stability, quality stability. in addition, achieve 100%应 used for polyester direction is industry 出路, plant/unit production capacity large 规模, high negative 荷投运 is front 提.

        杨千里 table/sheet 示, for/regarding made ethylene glycol enterprise, reduce cost is 生存 王道. currently, made ethylene glycol in raw materials 端出现 new 变化, 以荒煤 gas or 者焦炉尾 gas is raw materials production ethylene glycol positive in in, this technology 路线面临 gas amount, gas pressure stability property, gas pure degree and other need through solution issues.

         product 方面, separation enterprise construction “ alcohol - alcohol ”联产 plant/unit, is made ethylene glycol industry toward development provide 思路. due to ethylene glycol price low 迷, separation has alcohol production 线 煤 made ethylene glycol plant/unit tool has relatively large active property, in ethylene glycol price relatively low can add large alcohol production negative 荷, 反之亦然, has can force active adjustment product structure, more large product 效益.

        “ currently new 杭, easy high and other made ethylene glycol plant/unit already tool this can force, newly built plant/unit has product can force. from understanding 情况看, very more rear plant/unit in investment and technology 论证期也做 this 样 部署 and design. ”杨千里认 is, made ethylene glycol is solution China 西部煤资源出路 一 strip/profile “ can 走通, can good ” 道路. for rear market competition, industry 走出一 strip/profile has China color chemical industry light 明之路.