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lower semi year full polyethylene (PE) market 持续看跌

Date: 2020-05-26 06:00 Views: 3525 Source: Internet

        ICIS supply and demand data 库显示, year full has 460 10,000 tons polyethylene (PE) (PE) new production capacity start production, make full 球PE production capacity increase 3.8%. another, growth effect/influence PE demand, full 球PE market supply 剩, separation PE product price already 跌至10 year most low

        ●唐绍红

        受 a large amount of newly built production capacity start production, full market demand soft and raw materials cost relatively low and other factors effect/influence, market and 者普遍认 is, lower semi year full polyethylene (PE) (PE) market still will is 熊市.

         newly built PE production capacity a large amount of start production

         full can chemical industry industry market 信息服务商安迅思(ICIS) supply and demand data 库显示, year full has 460 10,000 tons PE new production capacity start production, make full 球PE production capacity increase 3.8%. plan start production PE new production capacity USA 4 以页岩 gas is raw materials newly built project, and degree, Malaysia, Indonesia and 俄罗斯 large type project. its in most large project is 西布尔 company 位于俄罗斯托博尔斯克ZapSibNeftekhim factory 一 150 10,000 tons / year PE project. although project positive start production time also for outer 公布, company 发言人6 month table/sheet 示, project positive in 试车, testing batch polypropylene (PP) (PP) and PE already 产出.

        今 year USA plan start production 4 newly built PE project will new increase 284 10,000 tons production capacity, main/primary used for export market. and meanwhile, China positive improve/increase chemical product to water plan, year will new increase 90 10,000 tons PE production capacity, large separation will in lower semi year achieve. therefore, USA already will new increase PE production capacity export target/goal toward Southeast Asia, and Europe in inner other market.

        不, new start production PE production capacity to market belt/tape new increase supply expected has design production capacity semi, main/primary is is start production 初期存 in various production issues, production capacity usually is 逐步释放, but also in raw materials ethylene supply made 约PE plant/unit negative production and other issues, new increase supply relatively large.

        部 separation PE product price large 跌

         due to growth effect/influence PE demand, and newly built production capacity a large amount of start production full 球PE market supply 剩, and other grade PE product price already 跌至10 year most low.

        5 month, China industrial growth 放缓至5%, 库存处于 high main/primary production 商纷纷采取 drop measures decrease/reduce 库存, PE price 跌至2008 year melt machine new low.

         low market gas impact degree type low density polyethylene (PE) (LLDPE) market. in supply and demand low 迷 情况 lower, degree production reduce 报价. degree gas company (GAIL)位于北方邦帕塔一 sleeve/set 40 10,000 tons / year LLDPE plant/unit start production, make degree PE market 形势进一步恶化.

         in Europe, low density polyethylene (PE) (LDPE) price already and raw materials ethylene price water 平, reduce production profit rate.

        拉美 and Africa PE supply 剩

         upper semi year, 拉美陷入PE supply 剩困境. Mexico, Brazil, 阿根廷 and ratio has PE production capacity, USA newly built PE project start production, lower semi year this market competition will more 激烈.

         Africa PE price 暴跌, analysis is, is is USA PE卖家 in China outer substitute/replace market provide large 幅折扣. 6 month LLDPE报价 low 至每吨900美元. 一 买家 expected, other PE product price will fall. 消息人士称, “ this will is large ‘厮杀’, market upper 充斥 太 more PE product, 没人知道 how 处理”.

        PE raw materials ethylene supply still will 充足

        今 year understanding plant/unit a large amount of start production 也导致亚洲 and USA ethylene market supply 剩. 3 month 以, ethylene price 跌至2008 year most low water 平.

         lower semi year, ethylene supply still will 充足. new understanding plant/unit start production, low lower market, and USA ethylene new export 码头 启动, can can Southeast Asia understanding plant/unit 进入停工检修季造 formed output/production volume loss 失. if USA enterprise product combined as company and 领航控股 new export 码头(year export can force is 100 10,000 tons)四季 degree use, USA ethylene export volume year front will large increase.

        随 USA supply amount rise and price lower 行, USA understanding plant/unit 运营商 can can 进一步 improve/increase new start production plant/unit construction start rate water 平. as is full cost most low ethylene production 商, USA 以乙烷 is raw materials ethylene production can can 以牺牲 other 以石脑油 is raw materials ethylene production 商 利益 is 代价赚钱.

        PE market demand or will soft

         due to macro development 不确定 property, and year versus ratio, lower semi year full 球PE demand will soft. trade table/sheet 示, Southeast Asia market has to USA polymer formed product mono increase.

        PE sales table/sheet 示, currently full supply PE will by China demand absorption. market and expected, due to production capacity expand and 东盟— China trade 协定, will has more more Southeast Asia material export to China. due to force cost relatively low, China small type plastics recycling enterprise already Southeast Asia 国家, 如柬埔寨 and 缅甸.

        消息人士称, although in full electronics hot 潮, 消费者便利 推动 lower, PE packaging demand will long upper rise trend, 并推动PE demand growth, speed degree low front 预期.

        本国货币 for 美元贬 value made 一 国家 PE Imported amount. 如土耳 its is full main/primary polymer market 之一, its 里拉兑美元汇 rate soft will retardant 碍土耳 its Imported PE, is Imported PE is 以美元购买, rear 以当 货币 in market 出售.