Shanghai Daoqin Plastics Co., Ltd.

        自6 month 起, inner acrylonitrile market 开始暴跌, 且跌势之猛令人始 material and, 7 month 12 day 当周跌破理论 cost 线. 7 month 末, inner acrylonitrile market 开始触底反 elastic, upper 周末, 华东港口出罐自提主流商谈 price 涨至1.2万~1.23 10,000 yuan /吨, market short to 商谈价1.21万~1.23 10,000 yuan /吨.

        笔者认 is, in raw materials price rise, supply amount decrease/reduce and other factors lower, expected short acrylonitrile market still will high 位平稳运行.

         cost 方面, front inner propylene market wide 幅走跌 is 主, market 交投偏淡. polypropylene (PP) futures, in stock low 势, market 人士心态悲观. in propylene supply amount front lower, lower plant/unit construction start 受限, demand 不振, 市面利空主导, overall gas 氛不佳. 炼厂库存 pressure rise, let 利排库, propylene price 持续探底. day price 震荡走 high, propylene market or elastic can can, for acrylonitrile cost 支撑尚 can.

         supply 方面, upper acrylonitrile plant/unit construction start rate 约89.85%, high negative 荷运行, front Jilin Petrochemical plant/unit already heavy 启, supply relatively 充足. has 消息传出, Shanghai acrylonitrile plant/unit will 于8～9 month 陆续检修, 而斯尔邦一 sleeve/set 13 10,000 tons / year acrylonitrile plant/unit will day 停车检修, expected market supply will has decline.

         demand 方面, day lower 游ABS market below/following slip is 主. 人民币汇 rate 破7 make Imported cost improves, belt/tape 动华南部 separation 买盘入市 procurement low Domestic 货, formed has amount, price heavy small 涨. production 厂家陆续调 drop, inner 悲观氛围不 decrease, ABS market price still maintain lower is 主. 而腈纶 for acrylonitrile demand 始终不畅, factory 操盘积极 property high, difficult belt/tape acrylonitrile demand growth.